The Vegas 3: Week 6

Don’t listen to your mom. Gambling is healthy and wholesome. Here at OTL, we advocate putting your hard earned money straight into a sports book. We’ll even give you the lowdown on who to bet, and how.

Don’t listen to your mom. Gambling is healthy and wholesome. Here at OTL, we advocate putting your hard earned money straight into a sports book. We’ll even give you the lowdown on who to bet, and how.

Key Terms

Moneyline – Who will win the game outright.

Spread – How many points a team will lose or win by. -3 means a team is favored by 3 points, while +3 means a team is favored to lose by three. When betting the spread, you are betting on a team to win or lose by more or less than Vegas says.

Parlay – Combining 2 or more bets to increase the total payout. Parlay’s are risky, because all bets must win in order to win the parlay.

 

The Parlay:

 

parlayThis week for our parlay, we’re going with a low risk bet. We combined 3 sure-fire moneyline bets, which would individually give you less than a 1 to 1 return, to instead give you a little more than a 1 to 1 return. As a result, you can count on doubling your money by the end of Week 6. Here’s why we chose these games to bet.

Cleveland at Tennessee – This Cleveland team is 0-5, they’re starting a rookie QB in Cody Kessler, and they rank 29th in yards allowed. Tennessee will dominate the line of scrimmage with their #1 ranked offensive line on their way to an easy win.

New York Jets at Arizona – Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown 9 interceptions in his last 3 games, the Jets will be on the road for the second straight week, and their secondary is giving up 12.9 yards/reception. This explosive Cardinals team will dominate at home

Pittsburgh at Miami – Miami is giving up a 28th ranked 401 yards per game. Pittsburgh is gaining 386 yards per game. Tannehill’s got 5 interceptions in his last three games, and his team doesn’t believe in him anymore.

 

The Spread:

spread

Betting the spread is not about who will win the game, it’s about who will cover. This week, we only felt that one team had a a good enough probability of covering their respective spread to bet them: The Dallas Cowboys

Dallas at Green Bay – Green Bay has been able to make up for their bad secondary by completely shutting out teams on the ground. This week that D line will face the best offensive line and running back they’ve seen by far. Dallas will win the time of possession battle, and keep this to a 3 score game.

 

The High-Risk, Low-Risk Moneylines:

moneylineWe like to put a large portion of our money into a low-risk moneyline bet (which will not payout much), and a small portion of our money into a high-risk moneyline bet (which will payout well). Here’s why we chose the Patriots to win as our low-risk bet, and the 49ers to win as our high-risk bet.

Cincinnati at New England – Tom Brady is back, and established himself as still the best quarterback in the league last week. The Patriots have won 9 of 11 home games, while the Bengals have lost 2 of 3 away games this year. The Patriots are significantly better at quarterback, head coach, and rank just 2 spots behind the Bengals defensively. Bet this game.

San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills – This a very high risk bet, but that’s the fun of it. You bet 10 dollars, you get 28 back if you win. Buffalo is better in almost every statistical category, they’re playing at home, and they’re on a 3 game winning streak. The reason we picked this as our high-risk bet of the week is because Colin Kaepernick is a wildcard. Nobody has tape on him in a Chip Kelly offense, and the 49ers have nothing to lose. Don’t expect to win this bet, but be glad if you do.

 

About Matthew Jarecki (196 Articles)
Student at Northern Arizona University. Beginning my sports writing career with Outside the League

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